AI Income Risk · Real Estate

Zuidwest-Gelderland

ProofIndex score 71/100 (High Risk) · medium confidence

ProofIndex score: 71/100 — High Risk risk.

Scoring period 2026-Q2 · medium data confidence

Zuidwest-Gelderland (Netherlands) ranks among the higher-risk markets covered by ProofIndex, with a ProofIndex score of 71/100 (High Risk). The biggest contributor is employment vulnerability. This measures how exposed local jobs are to AI automation, based on the area’s occupation mix.

Key risk drivers

Resilience Factors — 98/100
Local economic buffers such as savings, benefits, and job diversity that can absorb an income shock.
Employment Vulnerability — 86/100
How exposed local jobs are to AI automation, based on the area’s occupation mix.
Income Concentration — 86/100
How concentrated local income is in higher-paid, AI-exposed work.
Housing Leverage — 75/100
How leveraged local mortgage borrowers are, based on loan-to-value, debt-to-income, and price-to-income.

Where this score comes from

Every ProofIndex pillar uses published statistics. Review the sources behind this area's score, when each was released, and its known limitations.

Employment Vulnerability — CBS + ProofIndex model
Derived Dutch sub-regional proxy · Proxy · COROP · vintage 2024-2025. Derived from province-level official data and local adjustment factors.
Income Concentration — CBS + ProofIndex model
Dutch COROP estimates · Derived · COROP · vintage 2024-2025. Uses official CBS series with ProofIndex transformations where direct COROP indicators are incomplete.
Housing Leverage — CBS + ProofIndex model
Dutch COROP estimates · Derived · COROP · vintage 2024-2025. Uses official CBS series with ProofIndex transformations where direct COROP indicators are incomplete.
Rental Market Exposure — CBS + ProofIndex model
Dutch COROP estimates · Derived · COROP · vintage 2024-2025. Uses official CBS series with ProofIndex transformations where direct COROP indicators are incomplete.
Resilience Factors — CBS + ProofIndex model
Dutch COROP estimates · Derived · COROP · vintage 2024-2025. Uses official CBS series with ProofIndex transformations where direct COROP indicators are incomplete.

Frequently asked questions

Is Zuidwest-Gelderland at risk from AI job losses?

Yes. Zuidwest-Gelderland ranks among the higher-risk Netherlands markets covered by ProofIndex. It scores 71/100 (High Risk) overall, and 86/100 on employment vulnerability, which measures how much local work overlaps with tasks AI can already do. ProofIndex measures how exposed local incomes are, not how many jobs will go: a higher score means more of the local wage base comes from work that AI is changing.

How exposed is the Zuidwest-Gelderland housing market to AI automation?

Zuidwest-Gelderland scores 71/100 (High Risk) on ProofIndex, which blends how exposed local incomes are to AI with how leveraged the local housing market is. The largest contributor is employment vulnerability at 86/100. This measures how exposed local jobs are to AI automation, based on the area’s occupation mix. Housing leverage scores 75/100, based on loan-to-value, debt-to-income, and price-to-income among local borrowers. Local resilience scores 98/100. Savings, benefits, and job diversity reduce the final score. Scores are normalized 0–100 within Netherlands, so this compares Zuidwest-Gelderland with other Netherlands markets. It cannot be compared directly with markets abroad.

Why is Zuidwest-Gelderland rated High Risk?

High Risk is the risk tier ProofIndex assigns to a composite score of 71/100. The composite weights employment vulnerability at 35%, income concentration at 25%, housing leverage at 25%, and subtracts local resilience at 15%. For Zuidwest-Gelderland the risk pillars rank employment vulnerability 86/100, income concentration 86/100, housing leverage 75/100. Confidence in the underlying data for this area is medium.

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