AI Income Risk · Real Estate

IJmond

ProofIndex score 55/100 (Moderate Risk) · medium confidence

ProofIndex score: 55/100 — Moderate Risk risk.

Scoring period 2026-Q2 · medium confidence in the underlying data

IJmond (Netherlands) shows moderate exposure in ProofIndex’s scoring, with a ProofIndex score of 55/100 (Moderate Risk). The biggest contributor is housing leverage — how leveraged local mortgage borrowers are — loan-to-value, debt-to-income, and price-to-income.

Key risk drivers

Housing Leverage — 82/100
How leveraged local mortgage borrowers are — loan-to-value, debt-to-income, and price-to-income.
Income Concentration — 69/100
How concentrated local income is in higher-paid, AI-exposed work.
Employment Vulnerability — 8/100
How exposed local jobs are to AI automation, based on the area’s occupation mix.
Resilience Factors — 0/100
Local economic cushioning — savings, benefits, and job diversity that absorb an income shock.

Where this score comes from

Every ProofIndex pillar is computed from published statistics. These are the sources behind this area's score, with the vintage of each and the limitation we know about it.

Employment Vulnerability — CBS + ProofIndex model
Derived Dutch sub-regional proxy · Proxy · COROP · vintage 2024-2025. Derived from province-level official data and local adjustment factors.
Income Concentration — CBS + ProofIndex model
Dutch COROP estimates · Derived · COROP · vintage 2024-2025. Uses official CBS series with ProofIndex transformations where direct COROP indicators are incomplete.
Housing Leverage — CBS + ProofIndex model
Dutch COROP estimates · Derived · COROP · vintage 2024-2025. Uses official CBS series with ProofIndex transformations where direct COROP indicators are incomplete.
Rental Market Exposure — CBS + ProofIndex model
Dutch COROP estimates · Derived · COROP · vintage 2024-2025. Uses official CBS series with ProofIndex transformations where direct COROP indicators are incomplete.
Resilience Factors — CBS + ProofIndex model
Dutch COROP estimates · Derived · COROP · vintage 2024-2025. Uses official CBS series with ProofIndex transformations where direct COROP indicators are incomplete.

Frequently asked questions

Is IJmond at risk from AI job losses?

Moderately — IJmond sits mid-pack among the Netherlands markets ProofIndex tracks. It scores 55/100 (Moderate Risk) overall, and 8/100 on employment vulnerability — how much of the local occupation mix overlaps with work today’s AI can already do. ProofIndex measures how exposed local incomes are, not how many jobs will go: a higher score means more of the local wage base sits in work that AI is changing.

How exposed is the IJmond housing market to AI automation?

IJmond scores 55/100 (Moderate Risk) on ProofIndex, which blends how exposed local incomes are to AI with how leveraged the local housing market is. The largest single contributor is housing leverage at 82/100 — how leveraged local mortgage borrowers are — loan-to-value, debt-to-income, and price-to-income. Housing leverage — loan-to-value, debt-to-income, and price-to-income among local borrowers — scores 82/100. Local resilience — savings, benefits, and job diversity that absorb an income shock — scores 0/100 and pulls the composite down. Scores are normalized 0–100 within Netherlands, so this ranks IJmond against other Netherlands markets rather than against markets abroad.

Why is IJmond rated Moderate Risk?

Moderate Risk is the risk tier ProofIndex assigns to a composite score of 55/100. The composite weights employment vulnerability at 35%, income concentration at 25%, housing leverage at 25%, and subtracts local resilience at 15%. For IJmond the risk pillars rank housing leverage 82/100, income concentration 69/100, employment vulnerability 8/100. Confidence in the underlying data for this area is medium.

See the full IJmond report

Full pillar breakdowns, peer benchmarking, and data sources with confidence ratings.

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