AI Income Risk · Real Estate
Raahe
ProofIndex score 58/100 (Moderate Risk) · medium confidence
ProofIndex score: 58/100 (Moderate Risk risk).
Moderate Risk is this area's band among covered Finland markets, not an expected outcome. Confidence (medium) describes how complete and direct the input data is, not how accurate a prediction would be.
Scoring period 2026-Q3 · medium data confidence
Raahe (Finland) shows moderate exposure in ProofIndex’s scoring, with a ProofIndex score of 58/100 (Moderate Risk). The biggest contributor is income concentration. This measures how concentrated local income is in higher-paid, AI-exposed work.
Key risk drivers
- Income Concentration: 91/100
- How concentrated local income is in higher-paid, AI-exposed work.
- Resilience Factors: 83/100
- Local economic buffers such as savings, benefits, and job diversity that can absorb an income shock.
- Employment Vulnerability: 72/100
- How exposed local jobs are to AI automation, based on the area’s occupation mix.
- Housing Leverage: 32/100
- How leveraged local mortgage borrowers are, based on loan-to-value, debt-to-income, and price-to-income.
Where this score comes from
Every ProofIndex pillar uses published statistics. Review the sources behind this area's score, when each was released, and its known limitations.
- Employment Vulnerability: Statistics Finland + ProofIndex model
- Derived Finnish local estimate · Proxy · Seutukunta · vintage 2023-2025. Derived from official StatFin regional data because direct local series are incomplete.
- Income Concentration: Statistics Finland — StatFin
- Finnish income statistics · Official statistics · Seutukunta · vintage 2024. Direct income series at seutukunta level.
- Housing Leverage: Statistics Finland + ProofIndex model
- Derived Finnish rental vacancy pressure · Derived · Maakunta / seutukunta · vintage 2023-2025. Uses StatFin-backed home prices, income, tenure, and population scale; rental vacancy pressure is a housing-market-derived proxy, not direct residential vacancy microdata.
- Rental Market Exposure: Statistics Finland + ProofIndex model
- Derived Finnish rental vacancy pressure · Derived · Maakunta / seutukunta · vintage 2023-2025. Uses StatFin-backed home prices, income, tenure, and population scale; rental vacancy pressure is a housing-market-derived proxy, not direct residential vacancy microdata.
- Resilience Factors: Statistics Finland + ProofIndex model
- Derived Finnish local estimate · Derived · Seutukunta · vintage 2023-2025. Derived from official StatFin regional data because direct local series are incomplete.
Frequently asked questions
Is Raahe at risk from AI job losses?
ProofIndex does not forecast job losses. It measures how exposed local incomes are: a higher score means more of the local wage base comes from work that AI is changing. On that measure, Raahe sits near the middle of the covered Finland markets. It scores 58/100 (Moderate Risk) overall, and 72/100 on employment vulnerability, which measures how much local work overlaps with tasks AI can already do.
How exposed is the Raahe housing market to AI automation?
Raahe scores 58/100 (Moderate Risk) on ProofIndex, which blends how exposed local incomes are to AI with how leveraged the local housing market is. The largest contributor is income concentration at 91/100. This measures how concentrated local income is in higher-paid, AI-exposed work. Housing leverage scores 32/100, based on loan-to-value, debt-to-income, and price-to-income among local borrowers. Local resilience scores 83/100. Savings, benefits, and job diversity reduce the final score. Scores are normalized 0–100 within Finland, so this compares Raahe with other Finland markets. It cannot be compared directly with markets abroad.
Why is Raahe rated Moderate Risk?
Moderate Risk is the risk tier ProofIndex assigns to a composite score of 58/100. The composite weights employment vulnerability at 35%, income concentration at 25%, housing leverage at 25%, and subtracts local resilience at 15%. For Raahe the risk pillars rank income concentration 91/100, employment vulnerability 72/100, housing leverage 32/100. Confidence in the underlying data for this area is medium.
See the full Raahe report
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