AI Income Risk · Real Estate

Keski-Suomi

ProofIndex score 62/100 (High Risk) · medium confidence

ProofIndex score: 62/100 — High Risk risk.

Scoring period 2026-Q2 · medium confidence in the underlying data

Keski-Suomi (Finland) ranks among the higher-risk markets ProofIndex tracks, with a ProofIndex score of 62/100 (High Risk). The biggest contributor is employment vulnerability — how exposed local jobs are to AI automation, based on the area’s occupation mix.

Key risk drivers

Resilience Factors — 94/100
Local economic cushioning — savings, benefits, and job diversity that absorb an income shock.
Employment Vulnerability — 80/100
How exposed local jobs are to AI automation, based on the area’s occupation mix.
Housing Leverage — 75/100
How leveraged local mortgage borrowers are — loan-to-value, debt-to-income, and price-to-income.
Income Concentration — 56/100
How concentrated local income is in higher-paid, AI-exposed work.

Where this score comes from

Every ProofIndex pillar is computed from published statistics. These are the sources behind this area's score, with the vintage of each and the limitation we know about it.

Employment Vulnerability — Statistics Finland — StatFin
Finnish occupation register · Official statistics · Maakunta · vintage 2023. Direct occupation structure at maakunta level; seutukunta reports may inherit adjusted parent-region mix.
Income Concentration — Statistics Finland — StatFin
Finnish income statistics · Official statistics · Seutukunta · vintage 2024. Direct income series at seutukunta level.
Housing Leverage — Statistics Finland — StatFin
Finnish property prices · Official statistics · Municipality / seutukunta · vintage 2025. Municipality prices are aggregated to seutukunta where population-weighted coverage is sufficient; remaining areas use derived regional housing estimates.
Rental Market Exposure — Statistics Finland — StatFin
Finnish property prices · Official statistics · Municipality / seutukunta · vintage 2025. Municipality prices are aggregated to seutukunta where population-weighted coverage is sufficient; remaining areas use derived regional housing estimates.
Resilience Factors — Statistics Finland
Finnish official regional indicators · Official statistics · Maakunta / seutukunta · vintage 2024-2025. Official StatFin series; some seutukunta values use derived transformations where direct series are unavailable.

Frequently asked questions

Is Keski-Suomi at risk from AI job losses?

Relative to other Finland markets, yes — Keski-Suomi ranks among the higher-risk markets ProofIndex tracks. It scores 62/100 (High Risk) overall, and 80/100 on employment vulnerability — how much of the local occupation mix overlaps with work today’s AI can already do. ProofIndex measures how exposed local incomes are, not how many jobs will go: a higher score means more of the local wage base sits in work that AI is changing.

How exposed is the Keski-Suomi housing market to AI automation?

Keski-Suomi scores 62/100 (High Risk) on ProofIndex, which blends how exposed local incomes are to AI with how leveraged the local housing market is. The largest single contributor is employment vulnerability at 80/100 — how exposed local jobs are to AI automation, based on the area’s occupation mix. Housing leverage — loan-to-value, debt-to-income, and price-to-income among local borrowers — scores 75/100. Local resilience — savings, benefits, and job diversity that absorb an income shock — scores 94/100 and pulls the composite down. Scores are normalized 0–100 within Finland, so this ranks Keski-Suomi against other Finland markets rather than against markets abroad.

Why is Keski-Suomi rated High Risk?

High Risk is the risk tier ProofIndex assigns to a composite score of 62/100. The composite weights employment vulnerability at 35%, income concentration at 25%, housing leverage at 25%, and subtracts local resilience at 15%. For Keski-Suomi the risk pillars rank employment vulnerability 80/100, housing leverage 75/100, income concentration 56/100. Confidence in the underlying data for this area is medium.

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